Monday, June 18, 2012

Our case for Syria

Did anyone expect good news from Syria? For me, the worst part of the story is represented by the incapacity of almost any ‘famous’ international organization to cope with the situation. The latest bad news from there is represented by the decision of the UN observer team to suspend work in Syria.
In other words, another unsuccessful plan made by Kofi Annan. 
For over a month, Syria is the place where people and especially children are butchered. I do not want to enter now into a dispute about numbers and why it is this happening. What it is known for sure, including by the journalists invited to chew the PR campaign of Mr. Assad, is that people are killed for months. If not such a death-and-life situation, I would like to make a big joke about the appeal of the wives of the EU leaders to the wife of Mr. Assad, in order to contribute to the cessation of the slaughtering. Or on the ban the same EU imposed on luxury products.
It is true that it is not sure who can follow after Assad and as in the case of the Sunday elections in Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood or other extreme Islamic party could take the power. Without Assad – to whom the Financial Times dedicated another ‘objective bio’ it is difficult to see what the future is, in a country ruled by relatives and close friends. Most probably, the change of Assad will determine the entire change of the key pawns unless some of them are not already trying to negotiate their future underground.
The current configuration of the region is difficult, with Russia almost desperate to keep a strong foot in Syria, as it used to be. Many of the military and university elites of Syria are well trained and educated in Moscow and most probably Mr. Putin has his own plan at least to save some places in the new configuration of power. Maybe a new Syria will finally leave Lebanon free to get rid of Hizbollah, assiduously paid from the Damascus budget. Without Assad, Iran who has different interests to keep Russia around, will most likely lose a good servant.
By the way, apparently the subject ‘Assad’ is very popular lately as many of the books dedicated to him, not a few of them a pure PR work, can be purchased at impressive prices – over $21 for Kindle. Maybe the decision-makers from Europe are trying hard to understand what is going on there, but I hope their bibliography is not as superficial as it used to be in other cases. 

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