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Multi polar competition is now open

At the end of the last week, National Intelligence Council released its 2025 Forecast of the Global Trends.
The reports, drafted with the participation of non-American specialists, are documenting the emergence, in the next 20 years, of a multi polar system, with an increased dispersion of power. US will remain the sole superpower, but in decrease, with an emergence of a clearer influence of India and China, as well as of non-state actors. Another “relatively certain” trend is a possible increase of the attraction for the Chinese model. As an “uncertain” evaluation, China could have more impact on the world the next 20 country than any other country (the world’s second’s economy, a leading military power, the largest importer of natural resources, the biggest polluter). China and Russia progresses towards democracy are equally included in the same “uncertain” categories.

February this year, NIC published Global Scenarios for 2025.